TUE APR 22 2024
David Akin's Roundup
Polls tightening. Brock’s problems. NDP problems.
Canada
Canada election race tightens but Liberals still ahead in final week: Ipsos
The latest Ipsos poll conducted exclusively for Global News found the Liberals are still in the lead, but are now just three points ahead of the Conservatives. [Global]
In addition to our friends at Ipsos, there were lots of other polls out yesterday:
  • Angus Reid Institute: LPC 44% | CPC 39%  | NDP 7% | BQ (QC only) 32%  | online | n= 2,459 | Apr 17-21
  • Nanos: LPC 44% | CPC 36%  | NDP 11% | BQ (QC only) 24%  | phone | n= 1,200 | Apr 18-20
  • Liaison Strategies:  LPC 43% | CPC 37%  | NDP 9% | BQ (QC only) 25%  | IVR | n= 1,500 | Apr 18-20
  • Pollara Strategic Insights: LPC 44% | CPC 36%  | NDP 8% | BQ (QC only) 28%  | online+IVR | n= 2,195  | Apr 15-19
The national numbers above are interesting but if you click through, it's the Ontario numbers that stand out: CPC is well back of the LPC in the province that elects one-third of the House of Commons. - DA
“As you can see, we’re behind,” said a senior Conservative in an interview with The Hill Times who did not want to be identified. “The numbers are very challenging to win government. We need to see a change [in messaging]. There’s no way around that, that’s pretty straightforward. We’ve got to appeal to more Canadians who want to vote for us. We’re killing it on the ground. It’s a very unusual campaign.” [Hill Times]

Document suggests that Larry Brock, who has harried Liberals over alleged ethics violations, did not notify the ethics commissioner of his financial liabilities. [Global News]

Carney in the east, Poilievre in the GTA
The Liberals have led in the polls for most of the 2025 federal election campaign, but the Conservatives appear to be catching up. Mackenzie Gray looks at how Liberal Leader Mark Carney is trying to keep his party's momentum from fizzling out. The Conservative party will be the last one to release its fully costed platform for the 2025 federal election campaign. Touria Izri looks at when that's set to be unveiled, how Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is attacking the Liberals' spending plan and the Tories' push to win over voters in the Greater Toronto Area. [Global National]
Jagmeet Singh and the NDP confront an uncertain future
Gary Mason: The NDP has lost voters to both the Conservatives and Liberals, but Mr. Singh still believes a progressive voice is needed. [Globe and Mail] (🎁 link)

Singh spent his third consecutive day campaigning in the province, and second day on Vancouver Island where one political scientist says the fate of his party may play out. [Global News]

A campaign to discredit Don Valley North candidate is taking place on Chinese-language social media platforms. [Global]

Some domestic extremist groups are capitalizing on deteriorating relations between Canada and the U.S. to push their agenda, according to a new report. [Global News]

Public funds should not be used to support hate, the Conservative leader says. [Mtl Gazette]

Can u spare $5 a month for this newsletter? Click now!
In Abbotsford-South Langley, a popular political veteran running as an Independent could weaken support for Pierre Poilievre's party. [VanSun]

While Liberal party Leader Mark Carney and People’s Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier have each appeared in Calgary since the snap election was called nearly a month ago, neither the Conservative party leader nor the leader of the New Democratic Party have come to Alberta’s largest city. [Calgary Herald]

All your questions answered about elections signs. Where can you put them? What if they get vandalized? Can they be near polling places? -DA [Elections Canada]
From the provinces
Tensions resurface in Nova Scotia elver fishery
The profitable baby eel fishery is underway in the Maritimes, after illegal fishing and violence led to its cancellation last year. [Global News]
Aurora
Elsewhere
China warns against any agreements that harm its interests
The comments come after reports that Trump is hoping to use tariff negotiations with other countries to isolate China. [NPR]

Leaders from around the globe paid tributes to Pope Francis after his death, with Liberal Leader Mark Carney calling him the 'world's conscience.' [Global]

Media
The high stakes of defunding the CBC
Howard Law: A Conservative government could dismantle a key instrument of cultural sovereignty and weaken the Canadian media landscape at a critical time. [Policy Options]

We’re introducing a new layer of verification — a user-friendly, easily recognizable blue check. Additionally, independent organizations can verify accounts directly through our Trusted Verifiers feature. [BlueSky]

Science and Tech
Trump can’t keep China from getting AI chips, TSMC suggests
US export controls require chipmakers to monitor shipments and know their customers to restrict China's access to AI chips. But in a recently published 2024 report, TSMC confirmed that its "role in the semiconductor supply chain inherently limits its visibility and information available to it regarding the downstream use or user of final products that incorporate semiconductors manufactured by it." [Ars Technica]

Don't let that old phone gather dust in the junk drawer or kill the environment in a landfill. Repurpose it as a security camera, an alarm clock, a media player, and more. [PCMag]

The Calendar
  • 0830 ET: Quebec City, - LPC Leader Mark Carney campaigns in the riding of Quebec Centre
  • 1000 ET: Woodbridge, ON - Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre makes an announcement and speaks to reporters.
  • 1100 ET: Trois-Rivières, QC - LPC Leader Mark Carney makes an announcement and speaks to reporters.
  • 1200 ET: Vancouver, - NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh makes an announcement and speaks to reporters.
  • 1215 ET: Victoria - Green Party co-leader Elizabeth May makes an announcement and speaks to reporters.
  • 1315 ET: Burnaby, BC - NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh campaigns in the riding of Burnaby Central.
  • 1315 ET: Toronto - Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre campaigns in the riding of Eglinton-Lawrence.
  • 1345 ET: Granby, QC - LPC Leader Mark Carney campaigns in the riding of Shefford.
  • 1530 ET: Sainte-Julie, QC - LPC Leader Mark Carney campaigns in the riding of Mont-Saint-Bruno--L'Acadie 
  • 1830 ET: Vaughan, ON - Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre speaks to supporters.
  • 1830 ET: Laval, QC - LPC Leader Mark Carney speaks to supporters.
  • 2130 ET: Edmonton: NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh speaks to supporters.
Issued this day ...
… in 2011: Sc 2461 souvenir sheet of 2. International Year of Forests. Design: Subplot Design.